Can Turkey Renovate Its Empire by the End of the Treaty of Lausanne 2023

Turks have never forgotten the Treaty of Lausanne 11, which caused the reduction of the geography of the modern Turkish state, and forcing it to give up large territories that were belonging to it.

So it was not strange to be tackled by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, during regular meetings with the Turkish mayors to send historical and political message to outside before the inside, with interest of Turkey to get rid of the effects of the Convention and the restoration of its rights, which were usurped by the Allies and Turkey considers also the texts of the Convention are unfair to its rights?

The modern Turkish Republic was founded according to the Treaty of Lausanne 1923 , which concluded with the victorious Allies in the First World War, they are : the United Kingdom (Britain), Ireland, France, Russia, Italy, Britain , noting Britain has developed a number of unfair and painful conditions to the rights of the Ottoman Empire, as the abolition of the caliphate, and the exile of caliph and his family outside of Turkey, and the confiscation of all his assets, and the declaration of a secular state, and to prevent Turkey from oil exploration and to consider the Bosphorus Strait which links between the Black Sea and the Marmara Sea, and then to the Mediterranean as an international corridor that it is not entitled to Turkey to obtain fees from ships passing through it .

And by 2023 the period of the treaty ends , which has passed a hundred years, and here we understand Erdogan ‘s comments, as Turkey will enter a new era, and will begin oil exploration and drilling a new channel linking between the two seas Black and Marmara as a preparation to start collecting fees from passing ships.

Hence, one can understand some aspects of the ongoing dispute now between Turkey and the West.

The date of the Treaty:

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After the end of the First World War in 1918 , the victorious allied powers concluded “Treaty of Sevres” on 10 / August 1920, and shared under which the territory of the Ottoman Empire, and gave most of the non- Turkish nationalities in the Ottoman Empire the independence, but the Turks rejected this treaty and fought a fierce war against allies until they have achieved a great victory over them, especially on Greece during the 1922-1923 war.

Subsequently, the “Lausanne II Conference” was held , which its works lasted three months, and resulted in the signing of the “Treaty of Lausanne” an international peace agreement on July 24 in 1923 in the “Beau Rivage Plus” hotel in Lausanne , southern of Switzerland, the parties of the Treaty include the victorious powers after the First World War (especially Britain, France and Italy), and the Ottoman Empire , who headed its delegation to the Conference , Ismet Inonu, and formally on basis of which the Ottoman Empire was divided , and the Turkish Republic was founded under the presidency of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.

Mustafa Kemal Ataturk: (1881 – 1938), is the leader of the Turkish National Movement that occurred in the aftermath of the First World War, who defeated the army of Greeks in the Greek – Turkish war in 1922, and after the withdrawal of Allied troops from Turkish territory, he took the city of Ankara as his capital, and founded the Republic of modern Turkey, and abolished the Islamic caliphate, and declared a secular state.

Ismet Inonu: (1884 1973), is the second President of the Republic of Turkey , where he took over the presidency from November 11, 1938 to 22 March 1950 and had served as Turkey ‘s prime minister several times in the following periods from 1923 to 1924 and from 1925 to 1937 and from 1961 he formed ten governments, also he served as Turkey ‘s foreign minister from 1922 to 1924, and the post of Chief of General Staff from 1920 to 1921, and became the leader of the Republican people ‘s Party from 1938 to 1972.

The most important of the contents of the second Treaty of Lausanne:

• the demarcation of the borders of the empire of the Ottoman Caliphate , which Western countries at the time have called it by the “sick man”, which established for the Turkish modern national state led by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, and its capital Ankara.

• It included 143 articles distributed over 17 documents ranging between the “Agreement”, “charter” ,”declaration” and “annex”, and dealt with the arrangements of conciliation between the parties , signatories to the treaty , and the re – establishment of diplomatic relations among them , “according to the general principles of international law.”

• it has established laws for the use of Turkish water straits and traffic rules and navigation in it at time of war and peace, and stipulates the conditions of residence and trade and the judiciary in Turkey, and to review the status of the Ottoman Empire and the fate of the territories which were subordinate to it before its defeat in the First World War during 1914-1918.

• Abolish the “Treaty of Sevres” and its unfair clauses to the Ottoman Empire, and the foundation of what was known later as the secular “Turkish Republic” after the abolition of the Islamic caliphate system, and the demarcation of Greece and Bulgaria’s borders with the Turkish state , which maintained the annexation of Istanbul and Western Thrace, and included provisions for installment of the debt of Ottoman state.

• Turkey renounced sovereignty over Cyprus, Libya, Egypt, Sudan, Iraq and the Levant, except cities were located in Syria, such as Urfa, Adana and Gaziantep and Kells and Mrash, and the Ottoman Empire relinquished for its political and financial rights related to Egypt and Sudan as of November 1914.

• provides for the independence of the Republic of Turkey, and the protection of the Greek Orthodox Christian minority in Turkey and the Muslim minority in Greece, and to bind the Turkish government to preserve the lives of all citizens, their rights and their freedom within their territory, and they have equal rights before the law regardless of origin and nationality, language and religion, but most of the Christian population in Turkey and Turkish population in Greece, they had been driven based on the treaty of the exchange of Greek andTurkish population which has been already signed between Greece and Turkey , noting that the Aunanao Istanbul,and Lambros and Tendos (about 270,000 at the time), and the Muslim population in Western Thrace (about 129.120 P 1923) were excluded , paragraph 14 of the Treaty granted Islands kogchi (Lambros) and Bozjaadh (Tendos) “special administrative organization”, a right that was quashed by the Turkish government on February 17, 1926.

• Turkey officially agreed to the loss of Cyprus (which was hired by the British Empire after the Berlin conference in 1878, but remained a legal Ottoman ground until World War I), as well as Egypt and Sudan, the Anglo-Egyptian (occupied by British forces under the pretext of “putting out Orabi revolution and restore order” in 1882, but they remained “legally” Ottoman territory until the first World war), which Britain annexed them unilaterally in November 5, 1914.

• leaving the fate of Mosul province to be determined through the League of Nations, as Turkey renounced all claims in respect of the islands of the Dodecanese, which Italy was forced to bring it back to Turkey in accordance with paragraph 2 in Ochi Treaty in 1912, also known as the First Treaty of Lausanne in 1912, as it was signed at the Chateau Doshi in Lausanne, Switzerland, in the wake of the Turkish Italian war (1911-1912), between Turkey and Italy.

• lands to the south of Syria, Iraq and the Arabian Peninsula were remained under Turkish control when a truce of Madrus was signed on October 30, 1918, which its texts did not deal with them clearly, but Turkey’s southern border is defined in paragraph 3, it also means that Turkey has abandoned it, and it includes Mutawakkilite Kingdom Yemen, Asir and parts of Hijaz, such as the city of Medina, retained by Turkish troops until January 23, 1919.

•To bind Turkey not to put any restrictions on citizens in the use of any language of their choice whatsoever, whether in relationships or in public meetings or in the fields of religion, commerce, media and publishing, with affirmation of the rights of political and economic sovereignty of the Turkish state and cancel the application of the system of foreign privileges on its territory.

• Romania declared unilaterally to impose its sovereignty over the Ottoman fortress island (Adha castle) in 1919, and strengthened this claim in the Treaty of Trianon in 1920, the island was completely forgotten in the course of peace talks at the Berlin conference in 1878, which allowed it to remain Turkish legal ground in the private ownership of the Ottoman Sultan until the Treaty of Lausanne in 1923.

It is a small island located on the Danube River, and today it belongs to the Romanian Serbian territories, most of its inhabitants were Turks, and the island reflects the properties of Ottoman architecture, where many mosques and twisted alleys are there. Some of the island buildings such as the Orthodox Church and some cafes have been built on Vauban style.

• Turkey has abandoned its privileges in Libya as it was designated by paragraph 10 of the Uche Treaty in 1912 (according to paragraph 22 of the Treaty of Lausanne in 1923).

Turks look to the Convention, as a founding document of the Turkish Republic, as was described by Turkish president, “Recep Tayyip Erdogan,” in his speech to mayors meeting at the presidential compound in the capital Ankara, where President Erdogan comes to talk again about the treaty, calling for a review of the Second Treaty of Lausanne, signed in 1923 which was followed by the settlement of the borders of modern Turkey after the first World war.

Erdogan said that “opponents of Turkey” forced it to sign the “Treaty of Sevres” in 1920, and the signing of the “Treaty of Lausanne” in 1923, and because of that Turkey has abandoned the islands in the Aegean Sea to Greece, and Erdogan describes the Treaty of Sevres, as the first fork in the Ottoman back, because it forced Turkey to concede vast areas of land which were under its influence.

The Lausanne Treaty; the last leg of the division of the Ottoman legacy.

The treaty recognized to the boundaries of the modern state in Turkey, and the demands of the allies of autonomy for Turkish Kurdistan were reduced in exchange of the Turkish concession of lands to Armenia , and abandoning claims to areas of influence in Turkey, and to impose control over financial transactions in Turkey or the armed forces , and it was announced that the Turkish Straits between the Aegean and the Black Sea to become open to all, unlike what happened in the Convention on Sevres.

In Asia, Turkey abandoned sovereignty over Iraq, Jordan and Palestine, to become under British influence, while Syria and Lebanon to become under the French mandate, and Turkey retained the Anatolia, and Armenia became an independent republic under international guarantees.

In Europe, Turkey ceded parts of Eastern Thrace and some of the islands of Aegean Sea to Greece ,and the Dodecanese and Rhodes to Italy, retaining Constantinople and its outskirts , including the area of strait of “Dardanelles and the Bosphorus”, which was neutralized and internationalized , and allies got more effective control over the Turkish economy with the surrender rights.

The second Treaty of Lausanne led to the international recognition of the sovereignty of the Republic of Turkey as the successor of the Ottoman Empire.

However, with the end of the treaty it is believed that the “circulating of the message” caused political tension between Turkey and some EU countries, after a hundred years after the signing.

The letter also indicates that it will be possible for Turkey after the expiration of the treaty, to make oil exploration, and joins the list of oil – producing countries, as well as the collection of fees from ships passing through the Bosphorus Strait, and digging a new channel linking the Black Sea and the Sea of Marmara, which have been banned on Turkey according to the Lausanne Treaty; in preparation for the start of the collection of fees from passing ships.

We can understand some aspects of the ongoing differences between Turkey and the West that Western countries fear with the end of the treaty , Turkey will find the justification to its intervention in Mosul, which has been belonged to Turkey over four centuries until it lost it in the First World War.

The Turkish Professor specialist in international relations Mustafa Sidqi Bilgin said: When Turkey abandoned Mosul to Iraq, it was conditional on it not to change its borders or its status at the time, which has changed over the past decades. ”

The little history mentions that the city of Mosul, subjected to the control of the Ottoman in 1534 during the reign of Suleiman al-Kanoni, until the end of the First World War, as it became the an ambition for Western countries, especially after the discovery of oil, so it was taken over by France and Britain, and with the signing of Turkey on the Treaty of Lausanne and the Convention Ankara, Ankara abandoned Mosul after reducing the land area.

Here, it is possible to make the balance between the Treaties of Lausanne II, and the “Treaty of Nanking,” which China ceded the Hong Kong to the Britain, after the first Opium War by signing Tchenba agreement, which seeks to end the first Anglo-Chinese conflict.

In 1839, Britain invaded China to crush opposition to its involvement in economic and political affairs of the country, and was one of the most important goals of Britain ‘s war is the occupation of Hong Kong island which is populated next to the coast of southeast China.

The new British colony (Hong Kong Island) saw a prosperity, as it has become a commercial center between the East and West and commercial Gate and distribution center for southern China, and in 1898, Britain got 99 additional years of rule over Hong Kong under the Second Beijing agreement.

In September 1984, after years of negotiations, the British and the Chinese have signed a formal agreement approving the re – island to China in 1997 , in exchange for China ‘s pledge to maintain the capitalist system of Hong Kong, and in the first of July 1997 , Hong Kong formally was handed over to China at a ceremony attended by a number of senior Chinese and British figures, Chief Executive of the new Hong Kong government Tung Chee Hwa , set a policy based on the concept of “one country, two systems”, which maintains the role of Hong Kong as a major capitalist Center in Asia.

The second Lausanne today is on the table of discussion, as fears began to float on the surface with the expiration of the period, and linking this with coup attempt on Erdogan in mid – 2016, and with the battle of al-Riqqa and Mosul.

The question is: whether Turkey will return after the expiration of the “Treaty of Lausanne 2” , a modern Ottoman empire in the region? Will the geopolitical and economic map change , and the world is entering a new phase of renovation of Ottoman legacy?

And how the current great powers to deal with Turkish demands? Will we see wars before 2023, and who will lead that change

About  linking  the close end of the  convention to  the  political tension between Turkey and some European Union countries, observers wonder: “Is there an article in International law that provides for the validity of International treaties for 100 years only?”, Noting that “Germany canceled the treaty in the thirties 20 years after signing it, Is it possible for Turkey to do so?

Economic Unity

Rawbet Center for Research and Strategic Studies.

Pasca PRU-15: Muhasabah Politik untuk Semua

Walaupun PRU-15 sudah agak lama melabuhkan tirainya, namun dari segi beberapa sudut ada baiknya kita renungi bersama.

Pertamanya, ucapan Azmin Ali suatu ketika dahulu sewaktu melancarkan jentera pilihanraya Besatu peringkat negeri Selangor yang menyatakan bahawa Perikatan Nasional adalah semakin kuat dan diterima rakyat mempunyai kebenarannya yang tersendiri. Keputusan PRU-15 menunjukkan Perikatan Nasional memenangi kerusi parlimen sebanyak 74 kerusi menunjukkan perikatan yang baru berumur setahun jagung ini mempunyai aura dan kekuatannya yang tersendiri di peringkat akar umbi dan dapat menyaingi PH dan BN yang semakin hancur di bawah kepimpinan Zahid Hamidi.

Ketika Langkah Sheraton yang menumbangkan kerajaan Pakatan Harapan pada tahun 2020 yang diterajui oleh pemimpin-pemimpin Bersatu, Pas, dan PKR dengan bergabung dengan Parti Umno, saya fikir gabungan parti Pas-Bersatu  tidak akan bertahan lama kerana pakatan ini adalah pakatan baru dan mungkin tidak akan bertahan lama. Namun begitu, Pakatan Nasional ini meraih majoriti besar dalam PRU-15 yang hampir-hampir menidakkan peluang Anwar Ibrahim untuk menjadi Perdana Menteri. 

Aura Perikatan Nasional ini bukan sahaja terhenti sebaik sahaja tamat PRU-15, namun ia juga berjaya merampas kerusi parlimen Padang Serai dengan majoriti 16,260 menewaskan calon PH. Di samping itu juga PN juga berjaya menurunkan kemenangan majoriti BN di DUN Tioman. Secara tidak langsung ini ia menunjukkan Muhyiddin Yassin mempunyai kredibilitinya yang tersendiri dalam memimpin dan mengemudi Perikatan Nasional dalam suasana iklim politik yang tidak stabil ini. 

Pemimpin-pemimpin PKR yang berpaling tadah suatu ketika dahulu dalam Langkah Sheraton khususnya Azmin Ali, Kamarudin Jaffar, dan Zuraida khususnya seolah-olah tidak lagi mempunyai tempat dalam politik tanah air kerana mereka sudah tidak lagi memenangi kerusi parlimen. Menjelang PRU-15, pemimpin-pemimpin Parti PKR begitu bersungguh-sungguh untuk merampas kerusi parlimen mereka yang dianggap dirampas oleh pengkhianat khususnya Gombak dan Ampang dan hasrat mereka ini tercapai. Ada baiknya Azmin Ali dan Kamarudin Jaffar mengintai kerusi parlimen lain yang ‘selamat’ buat PN jika mereka ingin karier politik mereka tidak terkubur selepas ini. 

Parti yang paling sedih dalam PRU-15 pada kali ini tidak lain dan tidak bukan ialah Parti Pejuang yang dilihat sebagai parti tiada hala tuju kalah dalam semua kerusi yang dipertandingkan. Ada baiknya Parti Pejuang ini ditutup terus daripada terus beroperasi. Dari satu sudut yang lain, kita dapat melihat nasib Dr. Mahathir Mohammad sebagai bekas Presiden Umno senasib dengan Dato’ Onn Jaafar yang menubuh Parti Negara selepas meninggalkan Umno. Kita dapat melihat pengaruh Dr. Mahathir semakin lama semakin layu dan tidak sehebat ketika mengkritik kerajaan pimpinan Pak Lah dan Najib Razak. 

Barisan Nasional atau BN semakin hancur dan musnah di bawah kepimpinan Zahid Hamidi dalam PRU-15 kali ini kerana hanya dapat memenangi 30 kerusi parlimen sahaja berbanding di bawah kepimpinan Najib Razak yang berjaya memenangi 79 kerusi parlimen dalam PRU-14 walaupun gagal membentuk kerajaan persekutuan. Keyakinan Umno bahawa mereka akan menang sekiranya PRU-15 diadakan lebih awal sebelum musim tengkujuh hanya omong-omong kosong sahaja bahkan semakin ditolak rakyat kerana tidak memikirkan nasib rakyat yang dihimpit dengan masalah tekanan ekonomi dan pemimpin-pemimpin Umno dilihat untuk menyelamatkan diri daripada kes-kes mahkamah sahaja untuk mengadakan PRU lebih awal. Akhirnya, tindakan mereka memakan diri sendiri kerana semakin ditolak oleh rakyat khususnya orang-orang Melayu yang kini beralih sokongan kepada Perikatan Nasional.

Bukan Melayu khususnya di bandar-bandar akan terus menyokong PH. Trend ini sukar diubah lagi. Jika keadaan ini terus berlaku, maka kerusi-kerusi parlimen di bandar-bandar besar menjadi kerusi selamat buat PH sekurang-kurangnya untuk PRU-PRU akan datang. Ada baiknya kerusi-kerusi parlimen yang dihuni majoriti bukan Melayu ini dibuat persempadanan semula supaya kerusi-kerusi ini juga dihuni oleh pengundi-pengundi Melayu supaya tidak dilihat sebagai polarisasi yang dihuni oleh sesuatu kaum atau komunal sahaja. 

Sekarang adalah masa untuk bekerja dan bukan lagi masa untuk mengadu-domba membuat fitnah bagi meraih undi. Sebagai rakyat biasa kita tahu bahawa kita sudah muak dengan pemimpin-pemimpin politik yang sering berbalas-balas kenyataan yang tidak berkesudahan di media massa. Rakyat akan memilih pemimpin politik yang membuat kerja dan bukannya pemimpin politik yang hanya bermain politik 24 jam siang dan malam. 

Wallhua’lam.

https://wankamarul701.blogspot.com

Kontrak Sosial - Orang Bukan Melayu Memungkiri Janji

Dalam kalangan generasi ahli politik dan pemimpin Melayu Cina dan India ketika itu juga difahami umum bahawa menjadi sebahagian kontrak sosial bahawa bukan Melayu akan membantu dan mengajar orang Melayu bagaimana memasuki perniagaan dan perdagangan. Ringkasnya, bukan Melayu hendaklah memberi bantuan kepada orang Melayu yang lembap dan membimbing mereka bersama untuk mencapai kejayaan negara. Inilah sebahagian daripada perjanjian ikhlas yang dipercayai umum wujud antara mereka. 

Walau bagaimanapun, berdasarkan rekod-rekod sejarah dan perangkaan – dan walau apa pun usaha dan kemurahan hati individu yang harus dipuji – bukan Melayu secara kumpulan tidak tampil ke muka  dengan bantuan yang sebenarnya kepada orang Melayu di sektor swasta. Parti Tindakan Demokratik (DAP), Persatuan Cina Malaysia (MCA), Gerakan dan Persatuan serta Pertubuhan Cina yang lain, mahupun Kongres India Malaysia (MIC), tidak tampil dengan inisiatif atau rancangan usaha sama kenegarawan, program dan projek untuk membantu orang Melayu, supaya terbentuk satu identiti di kalangan kumpulan ras, meskipun inisiatif sedemikian adalah untuk kepentingan mereka sendiri, yang memberi keselamatan dan jaminan untuk masa depan. 

Sebenarnya, perkara sebaliknya berlaku. Bukan Melayu mendiskriminasi orang Melayu dalam perniagaan dari segi kontrak, dalam pekerjaan dan lain-lain, memihak kepada kaum mereka sendiri. Melayu dianggap rendah dan malas serta hanya mampu melakukan kerja-kerja yang kurang memerlukan daya fikiran dan daya fizikal. Mereka juga dianggap tidak responsif kepada motif keuntungan dan kurang berinisiatif, serta apabila diberi sesuatu kerja, orang Melayu dianggap tidak berkeupayaan melaksanakannya dengan serius dalam jangka panjang, berbanding dengan ras-ras lain. Orang Melayu hanya diberi jawatan hiasan untuk tujuan kosmetik dan perhubungan awam, khususnya jika syarikat berkenaan mempunyai urusan dengan jabatan-jabatan kerajaan yang majoritinya ditadbir oleh pegawai Melayu. Secara praktik, orang Melayu telah memberi bukan Melayu hak-hak tak terpisah di bawah Perlembagaan sebagai ganti untuk apa yang akhirnya hanya berupa tidak lebih daripada janji-janji samar dan kosong oleh bukan Melayu. Janji-janji ini pun kini dinafikan oleh sesetengah bahagian komuniti bukan Melayu. 

Sumber:

Just Faaland, Jack Parkinson, dan Rais Saniman, Dasar Ekonomi Baru: Pertumbuhan Negara dan Pencapaian Ekonomi Orang Melayu, Kuala Lumpur: Utusan Publications & Distributors Sdn. Bhd., 2005, hlm. 22-23.

 

Orang Melayu yang Ditindas oleh Orang Bukan Melayu dalam Lapangan Ekonomi

Diskriminasi sosial dan ekonomi terhadap orang Melayu oleh pihak komersial dan industri yang dikuasai oleh bukan Melayu meliputi pelbagai bentuk. Dalam perniagaan, bank-bank British dan Cina enggan melakukan apa-apa untuk orang Melayu kerana mereka dianggap tidak mempunyai pengalaman yang sesuai. Dalam perniagaan borong, runcit, eksport, dan import, mereka disisihkan oleh persatuan dan pertubuhan perniagaan. Meskipun orang Melayu mencari kerja dalam sektor swasta, namun mereka disisihkan oleh suku, bahasa, keutamaan budaya dan sekatan. Banyak kedai Cina dan India enggan memberi pekerjaan kepada orang Melayu. Hingga akhir-akhir ini, kedai-kedai India mengimport buruh dari India apabila mereka kekurangan kakitangan. Bagi pekerjaan bandar di luar kerajaan, hanya buruh kasar jenis terendah dibuka kepada orang Melayu: pekerjaan seperti penarik beca, pemandu, dan jaga. 

Sumber: 

Just Faaland, Jack Parkinson, dan Rais Saniman, Dasar Ekonomi Baru: Pertumbuhan Negara dan Pencapaian Ekonomi Orang Melayu, Kuala Lumpur: Utusan Publications & Distributors Sdn. Bhd., 2005, hlm. 7.

Kesian Dr Maszlee

PETALING JAYA: Bekas Ahli Parlimen Simpang Renggam, Maszlee Malik dihalau seorang penduduk kampung ketika beliau melawat sebuah pusat pemindahan sementara (PPS) di Simpang Renggam, Johor, pagi tadi.

Video insiden itu yang tular di media sosial menunjukkan Mazlee memberitahu beliau dihalang memasuki PPS Sungai Linau untuk bertemu mangsa banjir.

“Saya mahu membantu mereka. Sejak lima tahun lalu, setiap kali berlakunya banjir saya akan datang ke sini.

“Tetapi, kali ini saya rasa pelik kerana tidak dibenarkan (masuk),” katanya yang mendakwa ahli politik Umno dibenarkan masuk.

Seorang warga emas lelaki juga dilihat menjerit ke arah Maszlee dan bertanyakan bekas menteri itu apa yang beliau lakukan untuk membantu penduduk setempat.

Dua anggota polis kemudiannya menenangkan lelaki itu dan mengiringinya keluar dari sana.

Tidak lama kemudiannya, seorang lagi lelaki menghampiri Maszlee dan memberitahunya ahli politik tidak dibenarkan masuk ke kawasan itu.

Lelaki itu meminta Maszlee, yang juga calon Pakatan Harapan Simpang Renggam, meninggalkan kawasan itu dan beliau akur.

React:

Bertabahlah wahai Dr. Maszlee... Mungkin ada sinar di hujung terowong selepas PRU-15 nanti...

Ingin Menjadi Perdana Menteri – Adakah KJ Ingin Mencabar Kepimpinan Ortodoks Umno?

Pada kali ini KJ secara terbuka menyatakan hasratnya untuk menjadi Perdana Menteri sekiranya menang di parlimen Sungai Buloh dalam PRU-15 nanti. 

Ini bukanlah kali pertama KJ menyatakan hasratnya secara terbuka untuk menjadi Perdana Menteri tetapi sejak Tun Abdullah Badawi menjadi Perdana Menteri lagi ketika KJ dikenali sebagai budak-budak tingkat 4 Putrajaya di mana beliau menjadi menantu Perdana Menteri ketika ini.

Saya fikir bintang KJ dalam politik akan sirna (musnah) selepas Tun Abdullah meletak jawatan. Namun begitu, beliau berjaya membina karier politiknya selepas pengunduran bapa mentuanya sehinggalah berjaya mengemudi Kementerian Belia dan Sukan, dan Kementerian Sains & Teknologi, dan kementerian terakhir sekali sebelum pembubaran parlimen ialah Kementerian Kesihatan.

Umum mengetahui bahawa KJ bukanlah seorang yang memegang jawatan penting dalam Umno apatah lagi dalam Top 5 Umno. Jika difikir secara logik, sudah tentu KJ sudah tentu tidak mampu untuk menjadi Perdana Menteri selepas PRU-15 walaupun berjaya memenangi kerusi parlimen Sungai Buloh walaupun kerusi ini merupakan kubu kuat PKR sejak sekian lama dan dalam PRU-14 penyandang kerusi ini memenangi kerusi ini dengan majoriti lebih daripada 26,000 undi. 

Boleh difahami secara tersirat bahawasanya secara terbuka KJ ingin mencabar kepimpinan Zahid Hamidi yang semakin melemah sejak hari penamaan calon baru-baru ini apatah lagi dengan pengguguran penyandang-penyandang otai kerusi parlimen dalam Umno. 

Sebelum ini, KJ pun pernah bertanding bagi jawatan Presiden umno dalam saingan tiga penjuru dalam menentang Zahid Hamidi dan Ku Li tetapi gagal. Namun aura KJ dalam politik kian menyerlah saban hari setelah berjaya menerajui dan menjayakan kementerian yang diterajuinya sebelum ini.

Konflik dalam Umno yang menyebabkan pertembungan antara kluster menteri dan kluster mahkamah dalam Umno menyebabkan KJ cuba disembelih oleh Zahid Hamidi apabila dicalonkan di kerusi parlimen Sungai Buloh yang sudah tentu sukar buat beliau untuk menang. 

Sudah tentu, pertembungan kluster menteri dan kluster mahkamah akan terus wujud pasca PRU-15 nanti. Apa yang lebih penting apakah Umno-BN masih mampu untuk membentuk majoriti dalam kerajaan perpaduan yang akan dibentuk nanti memandangkan tiada pakatan politik sama ada PH, PN, dan BN yang mampu untuk membentuk majoriti bagi membentuk kerajaan. 

KJ harus bertindak sebagai panglima dalam Umno untuk menjalankan pembaharuan sama ada secara evolusi ataupun revolusi. Selepas Najib dipenjarakan, Umno tiada lagi poster boy yang mampu untuk meraih simpati dan sokongan kepada Umno. Zahid Hamidi yang menjadi Presiden Umno terus menambah episod hitam dalam parti ini apabila menggugurkan warlord-warlord lama dalam Umno seperti Shahidan Kassim, Noh Omar, Annuar Musa, dan lain-lain lagi. 

Yang berani menentang bertanding di atas tiket parti lawan seperti Shahidan Kassim. Yang takut menikus terus memberi sokongan kepada Umno. Mana tahu kot-kot boleh menjadi Timbalan Menteri ataupun Menteri melalui kerusi senator. 

Hasrat KJ yang menyatakan ingin menjadi Perdana Menteri sebenarnya isyarat halus kepada Zahid Hamidi di mana kepimpinannya tidak diterima ramai. KJ harus bertindak secara lebih bijak supaya perbatuan politiknya lebih selamat dan panjang memandangkan pemilihan Umno akan diadakan selepas PRU-15 nanti. 

Wallhua’lam.

https://wankamarul701.blogspot.com

Eh..Eh..Eh..Raja Propaganda PKR Mula Takut Dengan Kedatangan KJ di Sungai Buloh???

PRU15 | PKR mengkaji semula pemilihan calonnya untuk kerusi parlimen Sungai Buloh selepas Menteri Kesihatan Khairy Jamaluddin diumumkan sebagai calon BN di kawasan itu malam tadi.

Timbalan Presiden PKR Rafizi Ramli berkata dia akan membincangkan perkara itu dengan presiden parti terbabit, Anwar Ibrahim.

Bagaimanapun, Rafizi menyatakan, langkah untuk PKR mengkaji semula kesesuaian calon bagi kerusi tersebut adalah berdasarkan "maklum balas daripada pengundi Sungai Buloh".

"Saya akan berbincang dengan Anwar mengenai maklum balas pengundi di Sungai Buloh mengenai calon PKR setakat ini.

"Saya hargai semua pandangan.

"Keputusan akhir adalah keputusan beliau (Anwar) sebagai presiden parti," ciap Rafizi pagi ini.

Pada 2018 PKR meletakkan R Sivarasa sebagai calon Pakatan Harapan (PH) di Sungai Buloh dan dia mencapai kemenangan selesa apabila memperolehi 43,631 undi.

Sivarasa yang juga seorang peguam dibezakan sebanyak 26,634 undi daripada pencabar terdekatnya, Nuridah Mohd Salleh dari PAS.

Kali ini PKR menggantikan Sivarasa dengan timbalan ketua penerangan parti itu R Ramanan. Ia merupakan penyertaan kali pertama Ramanan dalam PRU.

Dia merupakan bekas bendahari agung MIC yang meninggalkan parti terbabit ada 2014 apabila Mahkamah Tinggi Kuala Lumpur mengarahkannya memulangkan wang berjumlah RM5.5 juta yang diperolehi melalui penipuan.

Pada masa itu, dia dilaporkan berkata dia merayu keputusan itu dan bersedia membayar jumlah yang dinyatakan kepada plaintif.

Berdasarkan data pada 2018, Sungai Buloh merupakan kerusi campuran dengan 66 peratus daripada 90,707 pemilih adalah Melayu, 22 peratus Cina, 11 peratus pengundi India dan dua peratus etnik lain.

Khairy pula merupakan bekas ketua Pemuda Umno Malaysia dan dia mendapat pujian ramai semasa mengendalikan ancaman wabak Covid-19 sebelum ini.

Pada 2018 dia bertanding di Rembau, namun dipindahkan partinya ke Sungai Buloh bagi memberi laluan kepada Timbalan Presiden Umno Mohamad Hassan.

Khairy memenangi kerusi Rembau selama tiga penggal.

Sumber: Malaysiakini.

Ulasan:

Raja propaganda PKR iaitu Rafizi Ramli mulai ketakutan apabila KJ dinamakan sebagai calon Barisan Nasional di parlimen Sungai Buloh. Harus diakui saya tidak berminat dengan siri-siri ceramah politik beliau kerana saya anggap macam dia syok sendiri. Kini, dengan pengumuman KJ sebagai calon BN di Sungai Buloh beliau mulai bimbang dan mula ingin menukar calon PKR yang dinamakan sebelum ini di kerusi parlimen ini.

KJ sebenarnya dihukum oleh Zahid Hamidi kerana menerima jawatan kabinet sewaktu pentadbiran Muhyiddin Yasin dahulu untuk bertanding di kawasan kuat PKR. Mujurlah KJ dinamakan semula berbanding 12 orang ahli parlimen BN yang lain di mana nama mereka digugurkan terus daripada senarai calon BN walaupun dianggap sebagai warlord Umno seperti Shahidan Kassim, Annuar Musa, dan lain-lain lagi. 

Zahid Hamidi pada kali ini berani mengambil risiko dengan mempertaruhkan muka-muka baru Umno di Selangor pada kali ini iaitu Tengku Zafrul di parlimen Kuala Selangor. Gandingan KJ-Tengku Zafrul pada kali ini diharap mampu memulihkan sokongan Umno di Selangor yang dianggap sebagai ibu ekonomi Malaysia. 

Jika KJ boleh menang dalam PRU-15 pada kali ini di kerusi parlimen Sungai Buloh, maka perbatuan politik KJ masih panjang kerana boleh menang di kawasan kubu kuat PKR. Sebagai rekod, pengundi Melayu merupakan pengundi majoriti sebanyak 66 peratus pada PRU-2018 di kerusi parlimen ini. Jika tidak kerana pengundi Melayu sekalipun, saya yakin beliau boleh meraih sokongan undi bukan Melayu kerana beliau dilihat sebagai ikon orang muda ditambah lagi beliau berjaya mengemudi Kementerian Kesihatan dengan baik sekali sewaktu menangani wabak Covid-19 sewaktu negara dilanda pandemik ini. 

Wallhua’lam.

https://wankamarul701.blogspot.com